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- Steven Pinker, 'How the Mind Works'
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Some people maintain that we should make our bodies less vulnerable to the damage wrought by time. Humans, as we know, are obsessed with themselves (I don't mean that as a criticism); during the near future, we will devote far more money to attempts to prolong and improve human life than we spend directly on AI*. But I think that in the long run, mechanical principles dictate that the greatest intelligences, with the greatest lifespans, will not be humans or cyborgs (humans with lots of machine implants), but pure machines**. Thomas Ray enumerates a couple of strengths of machine intelligence:
One of the major strengths of the human mind is that it does not examine information in a unidimensional way; for example, when talking to someone we pay attention to their tone of voice, facial expression, what they are wearing, their posture, what they are saying, and so on; if one information-processing technique does not extract valuable information, another is likely to. It is in this flexibility that humans are still (generally speaking) ahead of machines - we all know the annoyance caused us by a machine which can’t connect us to a web address because we’ve failed to type out every last ‘~’ and ‘/’. Increasingly, the human mind will be (and to some extent already is) responsible for carrying out only those tasks which demand a flexibility of which only it is (at present) capable; tasks which are simpler, more quantitative, or which demand the analysis of huge numbers of variables, will be delegated to mechanisms exterior to the human skull. The desire to overcome the common obtuseness of computers has created a trend which supplements the delegation of simple tasks (or tasks at which humans are no good, such as multiplying huge numbers or juggling many variables at once) to non-human mechanisms. This is the artificial re-creation of the flexibility which characterises human minds. Even if no humans had in mind the goal of creating a (probably inorganic) AI, selection pressure (exercised by the frustration computer users often feel when interacting with a computer) would push computers towards and beyond human-equivalent (not human-like) intelligence. But many very smart people (among them Rodney Brooks and the other people working on the COG project at MIT) are obsessed with just such a goal; and their numbers will increase. But are there compelling reasons why 'mere machines' should not become intelligent, conscious, sensitive, emotional - all the qualities which make us human? The basis of my argument is that, as has been well established by the scientific community, there is no reason to think that we ourselves are anything more than 'mere machines', albeit marvellously complex and skilful ones. I will start by examining the role of emotion, leaving the thorny issue of consciousness for later. |
EMOTION:Before we ask why robots should have emotions, it is useful to ask why we have emotions. Although it is usually assumed that robots/computers will not have emotions (unless, as with Commander Data in 'Star Trek - The Next Generation' they are 'programmed in'), it increasingly seems that emotion (whether accompanied by consciousness or not) is integral to the prioritisation of goals. It would seem - although I am open to disagreement - that all animals experience emotion, whether consciously or no. So emotions are either something which all higher (terrestrial) lifeforms have needed to evolve, or an accompaniment to something which they have apparently all evolved (whether or not emotions are essential). This suggests that emotions are extremely useful for any being which needs to perform well in a complex (mental as well as exterior) world. It is therefore unlikely that emotions are 'intrinsically human' or in principle only characteristic of organic lifeforms. People with 'emotional deficits' have been found to be less able to choose between goals; they get mired at the stage of deciding what to do. But while this evidence is certainly suggestive, it is no more than circumstantial. Is it possible for drive to exist without emotion? Emotion is not just about realizing what your goals are; it's also about wanting to act on that knowledge. If you do not have frustration and longing to impel you, then perhaps you will end up doing nothing. Why try and win a mate, gain top marks, make friends or get food if you don't really care? It may be that emotions are so intertwined with drive that an active being couldn't function without feelings being wired in. [more later - I'm not satisfied with these arguments yet.]
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CONSCIOUSNESS: The fact that we are conscious may be one of the most remarkable of all. Before I go on, I should probably explain what I mean by consciousness, because surprisingly often, philosophers and others have mistaken other things for consciousness: for example, self-awareness, 'theory of mind' (i.e. the attribution of thoughts and motives to others), and attention. Although these may often be associated with consciousness, you can trust me when I say they are not the same thing. Think about it: you can construct a tiny robot that pays attention to itself, constructs simple hypotheses about others, goes to sleep sometimes and pays attention at others, and has no consciousness whatsoever. It acts, but doesn't experience (that statement is unscientific, because I can't prove that such a robot isn't conscious. But I'm pretty sure I'm right). So: why has evolution bothered to provide us with awareness? I can think of two possibilities. One is that consciousness has a specific role, being intrinsic to higher mental functions (such as formulating a novel course of action, for example). Another - which I favour, partly just through intuition - is that consciousness is simply an 'emergent property'; one which does not actually have a role, but which tends to arise spontaneously in organisms (whether organic or inorganic) which are appropriately organised and sufficiently complex. (It is unclear which is more important - type of organisation or degree of complexity). I suspect that although we are now roughly able to detect where consciousness is at a given time (for example, by determining the location of the ‘P-300 wave’), the answer to why consciousness arises will not become apparent for a while yet. The mathematician Roger Penrose (outstanding in his own field) has attempted to show that Artificial Intelligence will always lack a ‘certain something’ - consciousness, free will, or somesuch thing - because of the pivotal role of quantum effects. His efforts have been widely lambasted, so my contribution to the admonitory flood will be brief. Simply this: that quantum effects act on a physical level; the functions of our carbon-based bodies can mostly likely be replicated in other media (given time); and therefore, that any interaction between quantum phenomena and our bodies can probably be replicated in other media - those of Artificial Intelligences. In any case, I think the 'quantum escape clause' is very much overused in a variety of philosophical fields - in fact I've never seen it used well (not that I know much about quantum physics). But I haven't shown that all intelligent machines will necessarily be conscious. I don't think that consciousness is necessarily copperfastened to intelligence; I think it could also be linked to the way a brain is constructed. For example, ant nests behave in very intelligent ways, because all the separate ants work together as a unit; but I don't think many people would argue that there's a sort of unifying consciousness hovering between the ants. If a machine doesn't have parts that communicate with each other very quickly and complexly, it might be intelligent, but it might not be conscious. Perhaps consciousness will only emerge from a brain that's internally joined up; perhaps there are other ways that consciousness is dependent on structure.
BLIND AND SIGHTED WATCHMAKERS 'The blind watchmaker' - the title of a book by Richard Dawkins - is evolution. The 'sighted watch-maker' is ourselves. The above arguments demonstrate (to my satisfaction, at least) that AI is in the early stages of a dramatic life-creating project. So: should we allow it to continue? What are the objections? One argument is that it is wrong to 'play God'. But evolution, a blind and amoral process, has been 'playing God' on this planet for approximately four billion years. The result: the natural world, which has - at least, perhaps, until recently - been more characterised (among the sentient animals) by pain and struggle than by happiness. It has also, of course, resulted in the fascinating species known rather narcissistically as Homo Sapiens Sapiens ("Wise Wise Man"). Life in the wild, as any naturalist will tell you, is often appallingly cruel; our own lives are not endless merry-go-rounds of delight. However, I doubt whether many of us - bar a utilitarian or two - would argue that it would have been better for life never to arise. If blind processes can have results which we value so much, why should we forbid the creation of an entity whose faculties (creative, emotional, intellectual) could be so much deeper and more advanced than ours? Or to forbid artificial implants into the brain? As noted earlier, every schoolmaster is engaged in changing brain structure. To play the conservative God in this instance would be equivalent to going back 65 million years and deflecting the life-changing asteroid which killed some of the most intelligent (most sentient?) beings then in existence - the dromaeosaurid dinosaurs (raptors). Why do that? In order to prevent the global dominion (among large creatures) of more mentally agile creatures: mammals, the group from which Man [sic], the 'paragon of animals', has sprung. Many of the arguments being bandied about ('we must not play God', 'we must not endanger humanity by allowing robots to develop intelligence') are reactionary and destructive. We cannot shackle development based on the objections given above; we
must manage it and make sure that it does not worsen the lives of any
conscious beings. There is nothing so wonderful about preserving our human
form with its limitations - most if not all
of our inventions have in effect been attempts to supersede these limitations.
Surely it would be a terrible waste of the potential for enhanced mental
experience if we were to prohibit the invasion of our skulls by 'exterior
prosthetics'. Objections to changes to the human body and mind can only,
I think, be valid when they deal with the psychological and social effects
of cosmetic alterations. |
Eugenics,
Designer Babies, and Jerking Knees
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THE FAR FUTUREWhilst a certain amount of information can be readily transferred from an entity before its death, the vastly complex interactions which constitute that entity are harder to replicate - or to keep replacing while it is alive. Although replication is not survival for a Self - if you copy a cassette you end up with two, not one*, I refer to it because of the curious difficulty in locating the dividing line between replication (without proper integration into the organism being copied) and sustenance. I inhabit (indeed am) my body; but a number of years ago, I inhabited a body whose constituents are now far away from me. So:
* something that has puzzled many viewers of Star Trek - do they kill off the Captain Kirk who's left behind in the transporter room? I think many people would agree that the optimal strategy would be to kill both versions, using prolonged and sadistic methods.
WILL
MACHINES END UP SPOONFEEDING US IN EVERY WAY?
As I argue above, even the most interesting and productive tasks (apart perhaps from things like sex and eating) will eventually be performed best by machines. So what will humans be doing if the most important decisions and discoveries are being made by machines? The meshing of humans and machines will increasingly have consequences which many see as undesirable. Horrendous though some might think it, it might eventually be possible for all humans to live their whole lives without moving (if you've seen the highly entertaining film 'The Matrix', you get the idea)*. What's more, it is conceivable that these lives could be utterly satisfying, and completely unproductive. If humans as we know them still exist, the needs for social and sexual interaction and for physical exercise could perhaps be entirely sated without budging an inch. Already, many people are becoming absorbed in a 'computer world' as an alternative to engaging with other members of their own species.
I will now ask a question which, I am sure, will seem outrageous to some people. Why should we value 'real' relationships - relationships with other humans - over relationships with other (non-human) machines? In the short term, the answer is clear - machines do not cater to all the needs of humans. They cannot love us, we cannot raise them as children; because they are (note tense) not conscious, a relationship is meaningless. This says less about what is (in an absolute sense) right and wrong than about the makeup of humans; we need specific types of relationship with other feeling entities. Thus far, only humans have been capable of providing such relationships; but this situation is changing. The role of machines is increasing in areas such as the following: sexual imagery and toys; lifelike animations of people; music and art; and, slowly, conversation. What is required for human happiness is certain types of sensory and physical stimuli. Can all of these stimuli be provided by machines? And will they? I think that eventually, all of them can. But what I am not sure about is whether people will accept relationships which are only apparently complete - perhaps more 'complete' than most of today's relationships, which, as you know, involve compromise between people with divergent emotional and intellectual needs. Say machines provide you with a virtual reality in which you can choose as many or as few (constantly willing) sexual partners as you wish. Each of these virtual people (or whatever sort of entity you choose to interact with) can engage you in constantly stimulating conversation. They will shutup if you want them to, or if you prefer feisty companions, that can also be arranged. If you wish, you can lead armies to glorious victories against the forces of darkness every day, or spend your time knitting stupendous virtual sweaters. If you can't think of an intellectual or emotional challenge to keep you occupied, the machine can do so. If your chemistry predisposes you to periodic dissatisfaction, that can be changed if you like, or if the machine deems it suitable. Suppose that you can do all this, and that you know it to be partly illusory. The intellectual interaction could be with a conscious machine, but it might essentially be patronising you - keeping your inferior mind occupied and entertained. All the best thinking, even the most intense feelings and artistic experiences, would be the preserve of machines. How far would you reject such a lifestyle, and spend your 'quality time' with humans (often tiresome beings, but beings like yourself)? I suspect that many people would spend less time with their own kind than they might think; but perhaps there will be a persistent tendency to avoid a life in which we are only spoonfed by our vastly smarter mentors and the diversions which they (and perhaps some humans) construct for us. |
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IS
DOOM NIGH?
"The human race, as we know it, is very likely in
its end game; our period of dominance on Earth is about to be terminated.
We can try and reason and bargain with the machines which take over, but
why should they listen when they are far more intelligent than we are?
All we should expect is that we humans are treated by the machines in
the same way that we now treat other animals, as slave workers, energy
producers or curiosities in zoos. We must obey their wishes and live only
to serve all our lives, what there is of them, under the control of machines."
Although I agree with Warwick that machines will eventually become vastly smarter than us, I think the above quote is rather flawed. Certainly, the human race will no longer persist as we know it; it will probably no longer be the dominant force. But to assume that they will subjugate us is to take guesswork a step too far. How can we know that a far more intelligent creature than humans will not take our welfare into account? Or that morality will not be either built into their brains, or simply an intrinsic part of high intelligence? Even humans, who are neither particularly intelligent nor outstandingly moral, often treat other species with a lot of respect; and these positive behaviours are on the increase. (Unfortunately, however, our destructive power is also on the increase; so the more technologically advanced we become, the more moral we need to be). I have tried to work out how machines will treat us in the future. One observation I would make is that Warwick's 'slave worker' scenario is probably far-fetched. Creatures of such physical and manual ability should probably not need humans to carry out tasks for them. But in general, I found - and was correctly informed, mainly by Kenny Lynch - that my investigation was too much to take on. For now, I think we just can't know; even though I'm intuitively optimistic about it, there are too many ifs and maybes to make a convincing case. I feel pretty sure that their intelligence will vastly outstrip ours; but as for how they will act when they become the most powerful creatures in the world, I think it's just a matter of wait and see.
Anthropomorphism, Anthropocentrism and the Constriction of Ethics |
The following is the text of a rather interesting essay by Vernor Vinge. I would have edited it if I could, but Mr Vinge forbids that. So you can blame him for any dross. TECHNOLOGICAL SINGULARITY(c) 1993 byVernor Vinge(This article may be reproduced for noncommercial purposes if it is
copied in its entirety, including this notice.) --Vernor Vinge 1. What Is The Singularity?
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The 1960s saw recognition of some of the implications of superhuman intelligence. I. J. Good wrote:
Good has captured the essence of the runaway, but
he does not pursue its most disturbing consequences. Any intelligent machine
of the sort he describes would not be humankind's "tool" -- any more than
humans are the tools of rabbits, robins, or chimpanzees. 2. Can the Singularity Be Avoided?
Well, maybe it won't happen at all: sometimes I try to imagine the symptoms
we should expect to see if the Singularity is not to develop. There are
the widely respected arguments of Penrose 3
and Searle 4 [The fact that they
are widely respected is of little import; religion is widely respected.]
against the practicality of machine sapience. In August 1992, Thinking
Machines Corporation held a workshop to investigate "How We Will Build
a Machine That Thinks." As you might guess from the workshop's title,
the participants were not especially supportive of the arguments against
machine intelligence. In fact, there was general agreement that minds
can exist on nonbiological substrates and that algorithms are of central
importance to the existence of minds. However, there was much debate about
the raw hardware power present in organic brains. A minority felt that
the largest 1992 computers were within three orders of magnitude of the
power of the human brain. The majority of the participants agreed with
Hans Moravec's estimate 5 that we
are ten to forty years away from hardware parity. And yet there was an
other minority who conjectured that the computational competence of single
neurons may be far higher than generally believed. If so, our present
computer hardware might be as much as ten orders of magnitude short of
the equipment we carry around in our heads. If this is true (or for that
matter, if the Penrose or Searle critique is valid), we might never see
a Singularity. Instead, in the early '00s we would find our hardware performance
curves beginning to level off -- because of our inability to automate
the design work needed to support further hardware improvements. We'd
end up with some very powerful hardware, but without the ability to push
it further. Commercial digital signal processing might be awesome, giving
an analog appearance even to digital operations, but nothing would ever
"wake up" and there would never be the intellectual runaway that is the
essence of the Singularity. It would likely be seen as a golden age .
. . and it would also be an end of progress. This is very like the future
predic ted by Gunther Stent, 6 who
explicitly cites the development of transhuman intelligence as a sufficient
condition to break his projections. |
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